It’s not about global warning, but rather the coverup?

  • Sunday, November 29, 2009 12:01am
  • News

EDITOR’S NOTE: We have a package of stories in today’s print edition of the Peninsula Daily News about so-called “Climategate, ” a subject many of our readers have been following closely.

The Washington Post weighed in with this editorial (below).

We solicit your views on this controversy (Log-in, or register, at the end of this article, then comment — and please play by the rules).

Washington Post Editorial: It’s not the climate; it’s the coverup?

Scientists have the evidence on their side but toss the unbelievers a bone.

LAST WEEKEND WAS a good one for climate-change deniers.

A hacker stole and released scores of documents, including personal e-mail exchanges, from a server at Britain’s Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, a premier climate-change research center.

“This is not a smoking gun; this is a mushroom cloud,” proclaimed one skeptic.

Not quite. Assuming the documents are genuine — the authenticity of all has not been confirmed — critics are taking them out of context.

None of it seriously undercuts the scientific consensus on climate change. But a few of the documents are damaging for other reasons.

According to one of the stolen e-mails, the unit’s director, Phil Jones, wrote that he would keep papers questioning the connection between warming and human activity out of the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report “even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!”

In another, Jones and Pennsylvania State University’s Michael E. Mann write of organizing a boycott of an academic journal until it fires a “troublesome editor.”

Many — including us — find global-warming deniers’ claims irresponsible and their heated criticism of climate scientists unconvincing.

But the point of peer review is to let ideas stand or fail on their own, in public.

Whatever else comes out about the stolen documents, they have become examples of how not to react to climate-change deniers.

You need not dig very far into the stolen documents to discover why climate researchers shouldn’t overstate an already strong case.

One discusses how scientists can’t account for a recent, measured lack of warming — a fact that climate-change deniers use to ignore the massive body of evidence that global warming could be a dire threat.

Really, it demonstrates that the Earth’s systems are extremely difficult to predict in detail.

By our reckoning — and that of most scientists, policymakers and almost every government in the world — the probability that the planet will warm in the long term because of human activity is extremely high, and the probability that allowing it to do so unabated will have disastrous effects is unacceptably large.

Climate scientists should not let themselves be goaded by the irresponsibility of the deniers into overstating the certainties of complex science or, worse, censoring discussion of them.

By our reckoning — and that of most scientists, policymakers and almost every government in the world — the probability that the planet will warm in the long term because of human activity is extremely high, and the probability that allowing it to do so unabated will have disastrous effects is unacceptably large.

Climate scientists should not let themselves be goaded by the irresponsibility of the deniers into overstating the certainties of complex science or, worse, censoring discussion of them.

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